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Current conditions for Troutdale as of Sun, 21 Dec 2014 8:53 pm PST

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Real Climate

  • Clarity on Antarctic sea ice. - I’ve always been a skeptic when it comes to Antarctic sea ice. I’m not referring here to the tiresome (and incorrect) claim that the expansion of sea ice around Antarctica somehow cancels out the dramatic losses of sea ice in the Arctic (NB: polar bears don’t really care if there is sea ice in Antarctica […]
  • AGU 2014 - Once more unto the breach! Fall AGU this year will be (as last year) …the largest Earth Science conference on the planet, and is where you will get previews of new science results, get a sense of what other experts think about current topics, and indulge in the more social side of being a scientist. […]
  • Ten Years of RealClimate: Where now? - The landscape for science blogging, the public discourse on climate and our own roles in the scientific community have all changed radically over the last 10 years. Blogging is no longer something that stands apart from professional communications, the mainstream media or new online start-ups. The diversity of voices online has also increased widely: scientists […]
  • Ten Years of RealClimate - In the spring of 2004, when we (individually) first started talking to people about starting a blog on climate science, almost everyone thought it was a great idea, but very few thought it was something they should get involved in. Today, scientists communicating on social media is far more commonplace. On the occasion of our […]
  • Ten years of RealClimate: Thanks - As well as the current core team – David Archer, Eric Steig, Gavin Schmidt, Mike Mann, Rasmus Benestad, Ray Bradley, Ray Pierrehumbert, Stefan Rahmstorf – this blog has had input from many others over the years: The 90+ guest contributors and previous team members who bring a necessary diversity of experience and expertise to the […]
  • Ten years of Realclimate: By the numbers - Start date: 10 December 2004 Number of posts: 914 Number of comments: ~172,000 Number of comments with inline responses: 14,277 Minimum number of total unique page visits, and unique views, respectively: 19 Million, 35 Million Number of guest posts: 100+ Number of mentions in newspaper sources indexed by LexisNexis: 225 Minimum number of contributors and […]
  • The most popular deceptive climate graph - The “World Climate Widget” from Tony Watts’ blog is probably the most popular deceptive image among climate “skeptics”.  We’ll take it under the microscope and show what it would look like when done properly. So called “climate skeptics” deploy an arsenal of misleading graphics, with which the human influence on the climate can be down […]
  • Recent global warming trends: significant or paused or what? - As the World Meteorological Organisation WMO has just announced that “The year 2014 is on track to be the warmest, or one of the warmest years on record”, it is timely to have a look at recent global temperature changes. I’m going to use Kevin Cowtan’s nice interactive temperature plotting and trend calculation tool to […]
  • Unforced variations: Dec 2014 - This month’s open thread. Think history, Lima, and upcoming additions of a single data point to timeseries based on arbitrary calendrical boundaries.
  • A clearer picture how climate change affects El Niño? - I still remember the first time I was asked about how climate change affects El Niño. It was given as a group exercise during a winter school in Les Houghes (in France) back in February 1996. Since then, I have kept thinking about this question, and I have not been the only one wondering about […]

Climate Depot

  • Study: Shrinking ship bubbles ‘could counteract climate change’ - http://m.bbc.com/news/science-environment-30543252
  • ’97 Articles Refuting The ’97% Consensus’ - http://www.populartechnology.net/2014/12/97-articles-refuting-97-consensus.html
  • Warmist conspiracy theory – Oil prices drop planned to sabotage climate treaty momentum: ‘Just as global warming gains international traction with treaties, targets and timetables – - the price of oil miraculously drops. A coincidence? I think not’ - http://publiccitizen.sonomaportal.com/2014/12/19/oil-price-skeptic/
  • Kill the squirrel to save the planet – Squirrels ‘are contributing to global warming’ - Kill the squirrel to save the planet http://joannenova.com.au/2014/12/kill-the-squirrel-to-save-the-planet/ And you thought humans were special because they can control the climate. Move over Big-Coal, make way for the squirrels and beavers. They’ve been stirring up the soil releasing CO2, or damning up streams and producing methane. Daily Mail — Richard Gray Forget humans, RODENTS are the [...]
  • Lose weight to green the planet! And lose more weight! - Lose weight to green the planet! And lose more weight! http://theclimatescepticsparty.blogspot.com/2014/12/lose-weight-to-green-planet-and-lose.html Friday FunSource: BMJThe University of NSW has issued a press release re a paper by Ruben Meerman and ProfessorAndrew J Brown, published in the British Medical Journal this week. (link)When somebody loses weight, where does the fat go? BMJ 2014; 349 doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmj.g7257(Published 16 December 2014)Cite this as: BMJ 2014;349:g7257Weight we want [...]
  • Top German Climate Scientists See No End To ‘Warming Pause’. Now Concede Oceans A ‘Major Climate Factor’ - Climate Custers’ Last Stand…Top German Climate Scientists See No End To “Warming Pause”. Now Concede Oceans A “Major Climate Factor” http://notrickszone.com/2014/12/19/climate-custers-last-stand-top-german-scientists-see-no-end-to-warming-pause-now-concede-oceans-a-major-climate-factor/ Germany’s so-called Climate Consortium here has published a telling statement on this year’s “record warm year” in Germany and the reasons behind it. The Climate Consortium represents the collective position of all Germany’s scientific climate [...]
  • Japan snowfall levels far greater than in previous years - Japan snowfall levels far greater than in previous years http://iceagenow.info/2014/12/japan-snowfall-levels-greater-previous-years/ More than two meters (6½ feet) of snow locally. 19 Dec 2014 – Japan’s NHK news network reported that, as of the 18th, Niigata Prefecture Tsunan had snow height of 207 cm (6 ft – 8 inches), Nagano Nozawaonsen had 183 cm (6 ft) of snow, [...]
  • India Snowfall Crisis Continues - India Snowfall Crisis Continues http://iceagenow.info/2014/12/india-snowfall-crisis-continues/ Snowfall crisis. For the sixth day, Manali-Kullu powerless and paralysed. 19 Dec 2014 – Internationally famed Kullu-Manali, a popular tourist destination, has suffered heavily with continued disruption of power supply and telecom services. Roads are blocked by snow and fallen trees/electricity poles and hoteliers face huge cancellations ahead of the [...]
  • 1974 New York Times: Global Cooling Induced Climate Change To Kill Us All - 1974 New York Times : Global Cooling Induced Climate Change To Kill Us All http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2014/12/20/1974-new-york-times-global-cooling-induced-climate-change-to-kill-us-all/ Climate Changes Endanger World’s Food Output NYTimes.com – gReader Pro
  • Greenpeace Nazca Lines Selfiegate - Greenpeace Nazca Lines Selfiegate http://nigguraths.wordpress.com/2014/12/20/the-greenpeace-nazca-lines-selfiegate-and-greg-laden Greg Laden, of the Soldiers of the Climate Consensus Brigade, is calling for the ‘end of Greenpeace’. This is his reaction to Greenpeace stomping around the Nazca lines taking pictures, leaving boot-prints and chicken scratches on the ground for posterity to endure. The key to the mystery of Greg Laden’s reaction is that Greg Laden trained [...]

Climate Skeptic

  • Typhoons and Hurricanes - (Cross-posted from Coyoteblog) The science that CO2 is a greenhouse gas and causes some warming is hard to dispute.  The science that Earth is dominated by net positive feedbacks that increase modest greenhouse gas warming to catastrophic levels is very debatable.  The science that man’s CO2 is already causing an increase in violent and severe […]
  • Those Who Follow Climate Will Definitely Recognize This - This issue will be familiar to anyone who has spent time with temperature graphs.  We can ask ourselves if 1 degree of global warming is a lot, when it is small compared to seasonal variations, or even intra-day variation, you would find in most locations.  That is not a trick question.  It might be important, […]
  • Layman’s Primer on the Climate Skeptic Position - I am a “lukewarmer”, which means a skeptic that agrees that man-made CO2 is incrementally warming the Earth but believes that the amount of that warming is being greatly exaggerated.  In addition, I believe that the science behind evidence of current “climate change” is really poor, with folks in the media using observations of tail-of-the-distribution weather […]
  • When Climate Alarmism Limits Environmental Progress - One of my favorite sayings is that “years from now, environmentalists will look back on the current obsession with global warming and say that it did incredible harm to real environmental progress.”  The reason is that there are many environmental problems worse than the likely impact of man-made global warming that would cost substantially less […]
  • Why We Are Exaggerating “Extreme Weather” - I have written in article at Forbes.com called Summer of the Shark, Global Warming Edition.  It describes why the media, and many average citizens, are exaggerating the degree and effects of extreme weather.  Here is a preview of that article, but I encourage you to read it all In the summer of 2001, a little boy […]
  • HydroInfra: Scam! Investment Honeypot for Climate Alarmists - Cross-posted from Coyoteblog. I got an email today from some random Gmail account asking me to write about HyrdoInfra.  OK.  The email begins: “HydroInfra Technologies (HIT) is a Stockholm based clean tech company that has developed an innovative approach to neutralizing carbon fuel emissions from power plants and other polluting industries that burn fossil fuels.” […]
  • Presentation: The Science of the Skeptic Position - Here is the most recent version of my presentation “Don’t Panic: The Science of the Climate Skeptic Position” I am working to add the narration to it in video form so it is easier to follow. Until I can get that posted, here is my older version of the presentation: Catastrophe Denied: The Science of […]
  • Switching Back to Disqus - For a variety of reasons, I had to turn off Disqus a while back.  We are going back to it for comments.  Over the next few days you may see comments on old posts disappear and reappear.  If I don’t screw up, within 48 hours all existing comments should be back.
  • Reconciling Conflicting Climate Claims - Cross-posted from Coyoteblog At Real Science, Steven Goddard claims this is the coolest summer on record in the US. The NOAA reports that both May and June were the hottest on record. It used to be the the media would reconcile such claims and one might learn something interesting from that reconciliation, but now all we […]
  • Computer Models as “Evidence” - Cross-posted from Coyoteblog The BBC has decided not to every talk to climate skeptics again, in part based on the “evidence” of computer modelling Climate change skeptics are being banned from BBC News, according to a new report, for fear of misinforming people and to create more of a “balance” when discussing man-made climate change. The latest […]

Watts Up With That

  • Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #161 - The Week That Was: 2014-12-20 (December 20, 2014) Brought to You by SEPP (www.SEPP.org) The Science and Environmental Policy Project ################################################### Quote of the Week: The real problem in speech is not precise language. The problem is clear language. Paraphrased from Richard Feynman. ################################################### Number of the Week: 15, 17, 50 to 100 years? ###################################################…
  • Settled science? The IPCC’s premature consensus is demonstrated by the Orbiting Carbon Observatory - Guest Opinion: Dr. Tim Ball From the start, Richard Lindzen, former professor of meteorology at MIT, said about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis: The consensus was reached before the research had even begun. The IPCC virtually ignored evidence that showed the hypothesis wrong, including failed predictions. Instead of revisiting…
  • ‘Weather Porn’ – The latest smear attack on TV Meteorologists who don’t kowtow to ‘global warming’ - Guest essay by Eric Worrall Andrew Tyndall, news consultant: If you don’t tie every event to climate change when reporting the weather, its like pornography Andrew Tyndall, described as a news consultant, has accused Ginger Zee, a qualified meteorologist and popular TV weather presenter, of producing “weather porn”. According to Tyndall; “If Ginger Zee reported…
  • NASA’s missions reveal the origin of theta auroras - Auroras are the most visible manifestation of the sun’s effect on Earth, but many aspects of these spectacular displays are still poorly understood. Thanks to the joint European Space Agency and NASA’s Cluster mission combined with data from a past NASA mission called the Imager for Magnetopause-to-Aurora Global Exploration, or IMAGE, a particular type of…
  • There’s a model for everything, including Yellowstone’s colorful thermal springs - Scientists from Montana and Germany develop simple new model that explains the brilliant deep hues of Yellowstone National Park’s most beautiful thermal springs WASHINGTON D.C. – Researchers at Montana State University and Brandenburg University of Applied Sciences in Germany have created a simple mathematical model based on optical measurements that explains the stunning colors of…
  • #AGU14 NASA’s Orbiting Carbon Observatory shows surprising CO2 emissions in Southern Hemisphere - The first global maps of atmospheric carbon dioxide from NASA’s new Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 mission demonstrate its performance and promise, showing elevated carbon dioxide concentrations across the Southern Hemisphere from springtime biomass burning. At a media briefing today at the American Geophysical Union meeting in San Francisco, scientists from NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, California;…
  • Friday Funny – Mann Overboard at #AGU14 - Today I visited the poster sessions again, where I’m not allowed to take photos. I also visited the commercial exhibition, where I am allowed photography. I was surprised to find that Mann’s penchant for hype even permeates that part of AGU 2014. It makes me wonder if they spent more on that big board display…
  • #AGU14 poster demonstrates the divergence problem with IPCC climate models and observations - Earlier this week I to reported on some of the poster sessions at the American Geophysical Meeting but was told the next day that I’m not allowed to photograph such posters to report on them. However, when the authors send me the original, for which they own the copyright, there’s nothing AGU can complain about…
  • 97 Articles Refuting The ‘97% Consensus’ on global warming - The 97% “consensus” study, Cook et al. (2013) has been thoroughly refuted in scholarly peer-reviewed journals, by major news media, public policy organizations and think tanks, highly credentialed scientists and extensively in the climate blogosphere. The shoddy methodology of Cook’s study has been shown to be so fatally flawed that well known climate scientists have…
  • #AGU14 Stanford researchers use a girl scout troop as guinea pigs for climate ‘behavior change’ - From the Stanford University press office: AGU talk: Scaling climate change communication for behavior change In a previous randomized controlled trial, Stanford University researchers developed two curricula for Girl Scouts to use energy more efficiently: one on energy use at home, and the other in transportation and food. Both courses were effective for girls in…
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